Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.219436 0.254285 0.292877 0.338786 0.391924 0.451513 0.523441
2025-07-27 0.167252 0.214585 0.272514 0.348653 0.446171 0.567010 0.728355
2025-08-03 0.136994 0.188587 0.256251 0.351545 0.482468 0.656324 0.905300
2025-08-10 0.114244 0.166556 0.239140 0.347286 0.504619 0.725678 1.060900
2025-08-17 0.095433 0.146209 0.220176 0.335892 0.512786 0.773781 1.189687
2025-08-24 0.085621 0.137137 0.215529 0.343647 0.548395 0.864022 1.389883
2025-08-31 0.076246 0.127170 0.207807 0.344957 0.573205 0.939420 1.574887
2025-09-07 0.069176 0.119786 0.202930 0.349662 0.603201 1.025344 1.785998
2025-09-14 0.061122 0.109608 0.192045 0.342634 0.612118 1.076607 1.943570
2025-09-21 0.054975 0.101892 0.184284 0.339771 0.627376 1.139555 2.127866
2025-09-28 0.050583 0.096734 0.180313 0.342990 0.653505 1.223910 2.359948
2025-10-05 0.048602 0.095774 0.183750 0.360128 0.707075 1.363620 2.711439
2025-10-12 0.045954 0.093307 0.184252 0.372055 0.752752 1.494875 3.065250
2025-10-19 0.043384 0.090694 0.184195 0.382919 0.797733 1.630105 3.444282
2025-10-26 0.040266 0.086565 0.180610 0.386097 0.827263 1.737454 3.778352
2025-11-02 0.036732 0.081118 0.173692 0.381418 0.839628 1.810601 4.048123
2025-11-09 0.032899 0.074563 0.163696 0.368899 0.833514 1.843776 4.234046
2025-11-16 0.031229 0.072590 0.163298 0.377419 0.874733 1.983648 4.675761
2025-11-23 0.029156 0.069449 0.159960 0.378858 0.899958 2.090560 5.053978
2025-11-30 0.027543 0.067185 0.158334 0.384028 0.934339 2.221812 5.505018
2025-12-07 0.025209 0.062922 0.151618 0.376306 0.937035 2.279333 5.783793
2025-12-14 0.023386 0.059700 0.147006 0.373160 0.950497 2.363884 6.139731
2025-12-21 0.022117 0.057715 0.145167 0.376698 0.981038 2.493374 6.625567